![]() This is the first NCAA tournament without Duke and Kentucky since 1976. ![]() Will Gonzaga complete an unbeaten season? For example, for the purposes of this column, we consider Louisville the winner of the 2013 national championship game, even though its appearance has been vacated by the NCAA. In addition, all results mentioned do not recognize those that have been since vacated. The First Four stands on its own for the purposes of this column to avoid confusion. Additionally, any historical reference to the "first round" relates to the round of 64, and "second round" to the round of 32. NOTE: All stats referenced are since 1985, unless otherwise noted. Let's get to it, and as always, I hope you enjoy arguably the best three weeks in sports! Maybe you'll learn a few things along the way too and reminisce a little about tourneys past. It's supposed to be fun, and hopefully, you will find topics that interest you as you fill out your ESPN Tournament Challenge brackets. I'll leave that to our great ESPN college basketball writers and analysts. What is important to point out is this column is not meant to be predictive in any way. This column is long enough, so I'll keep the intro short. Now it's time to dig in and go through whatever process you use to pick your March Madness winners. And we will have an NCAA tournament in 2021. It's been two years since we could say this: We have a bracket. March Madness bracket facts for 2021 NCAA tournament In 2003, Connecticut beat Tennessee 73-68.You have reached a degraded version of because you're using an unsupported version of Internet Explorer.įor a complete experience, please upgrade or use a supported browser There is some precedent for teams hitting those numbers: In 2018, Notre Dame beat Mississippi State, 61-58. So the best we could do was 73-61, which comes to 134, a shade higher than the 133.4 average. However, we couldn't get whole numbers that would fit for the final score using those numbers. The average margin was 11.8, which we rounded up to 12. The average individual score, then, was 66.5, which we rounded up to 67. The average total score was 133.4, which we rounded down to 133. The women's games have been a bit more lopsidedĬalculating the average score of the women's championship games over the same time period yielded results that were little more uneven. In 2019, Virginia beat Texas Tech, 85-77. Since 1993, a team has either scored 77 or 68 points in the championship game six times. It's an imperfect formula, but it is at last a safe bet. So, accounting for those numbers, the best prediction for the score of the NCAA Tournament men's championship game is 77-68. The average margin was 9.1 which we rounded down to 9. The average individual score, then, was 72.5, which we rounded up to 73. The average total score was 145.4 We rounded to 145. We averaged the total combined scores of the two teams, the average individual score, and the average winning margin. Why 1987? It was the first year the men's NCAA Tournament featured the three-pointer. We tracked the scores of every March Madness men's final going back to 1987-2022 to find the most common result. ![]() ![]() Predicting a score can be tricky, and plenty of people like to go off past examples as a framework.
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